A poll published by the New York Times on August 17 shows that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are leading in a tight race in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina. Major claims the Republican Party was on track to win before Joe Biden dropped out.
“Swing States”, or King-Making States. Heavily polled and polled during American election campaigns, they alternately cast their majority votes for either the Democratic or Republican candidate.
And then The New York Times published a new poll this August 17 And Siena College’s Kamala Harris continues the Democratic Party’s rise since Joe Biden’s withdrawal and is competing with Donald Trump in the “swing states” surveyed.
Results within error
Kamala Harris will lead in the key state of Arizona (50% vs. 45% for Donald Trump). In North Carolina, where Donald Trump won the 2020 election, he is also ahead of the Republican candidate (49% vs. 47% of the vote).
In Georgia (50% vs. 46%) and Nevada (48% vs. 47%), he was close to his opponent. However, in these 3 states, if the estimates are within the margin of error (4.4% in Nevada and Georgia, 4.2% in North Carolina), Kamala Harris often improves voting intention compared to Joe Biden.
Last week, the same poll in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, three key states in the “Midwest,” showed him slightly ahead of Donald Trump there. With 50% voting intention against 46%. Estimates are also included within the margin of error.
Last May, a New York Times poll showed the outgoing Democratic president losing to Donald Trump in 5 of 6 swing states. After his failed debate in early July, In a national referendumJoe Biden trailed 8 points among registered voters (41% vs. 49% for Donald Trump).
In Pennsylvania, Native Electors
Pennsylvania is the object of all desires. With 20 electors, this is a state that allowed Joe Biden to reach the threshold of 270 in 2020, which is tantamount to victory. Out of 7 million voters, the Democrats won by less than 81,000 votes.
This weekend, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are campaigning there. The former president, who was the victim of an assassination attempt in this key state in July, is holding a rally in a small town in the east on August 17. His rival boarded a bus on August 18 to tour several districts in the state’s west.
Kamala Harris will travel to Chicago on August 19 to celebrate the inauguration at her party’s main rally.