Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump, What the Polls Say 100 Days Before the Poll

UNITED STATES – The countdown is on. The US presidential election will be held in exactly 100 days, on November 5, in which Democratic Party candidate Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump will face each other. But who will win? Here’s what the poll says for Sunday, July 28.

If the vice-president has not yet been officially nominated by his party, all indications are that he will be elected during the July 19-22 national convention. His popularity has exploded since he replaced Joe Biden on short notice, leaving little room for another contender to declare himself the nominee.

With Joe Biden’s lead piled up after his rival Donald Trump’s disastrous debate at the end of June, Democrats will need to be more united than ever to even hope to win in three months. Another Democratic candidate could shatter this unity seen with Kamala Harris. The latter also agreed this Saturday, July 27 “I’m a Foreigner” Faced with a Republican, but everything suggests she has a card to play.

Harris is better than Biden at defeating Trump

A New York Times/Siena College poll showed On July 21, the day Joe Biden resigned, he trailed Democratic President Donald Trump by three points (47% vs. 44%). By early July, the gap was six points, a dramatic figure that kept the two opponents neck-and-neck until the debate on CNN. It was from there that the name Kamala Harris got more and more insistent on getting back into the race. Not very popular, no improvement in opinion polls.

At this point, however, Kamala Harris’ candidacy looks like a profitable strategic choice for the Democratic Party. A New York Times poll dated Saturday, July 27 shows that he is in a better place than Biden: his delay compared to Trump is only two percentage points (46 vs. 48%).

Several polls have been conducted in recent days. HarrisX/Forbes has Donald Trump two points ahead of the vice president (46 vs. 48%), while CNN/SSRS estimates the gap at three points (46 vs. 49%). Conversely, Ipsos/Reuters sees Kamala Harris winning by two points (44 vs. 42%). Reuters saw Trump winning by two points just before Joe Biden dropped out. Morning Consult also sees Harris winning, but only gives him a one-point lead. Cannot be exhaustive and cannot cite all available studies. What we have to remember is that even if Trump maintains a small lead, the fight promises to be very close.

Everything will be played in major states

The election will actually be held in key states (“swing-states”) such as Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Georgia, which can swing either Democratic or Republican depending on the polls. A little bit of voice can make a difference, as proven by a study conducted Emerson College to The Hill website.

The two candidates are tied in all of the states mentioned except Wisconsin, where Donald Trump leads. Closer: Nationally, the gap between the two is 1 or 2 percentage points. The one exception is in Arizona, where the Republican has a lead (4 points) over the former California attorney general.

The most undecided voters are those who are still undecided about who to vote for “Undecided” In the Emerson College poll. There are more: 7% in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Georgia, 9% in Michigan. Many Americans can reverse the election at the last minute.

In this presidential campaign, which is already full of twists and turns, a lot more can happen. Is Kamala Harris Really Going to Be the Democratic Nominee? her “speed” Does it last long? Would an organized debate, like Joe Biden’s, happen and change the situation? Will the third man, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., survive this presidential election? If not, what will his voters do on D-Day? 100 days to go.. so many surprises.

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